This article
first appeared in The Skeptic (Volume 12 Numbers 3& 4 - a double issue). Since it was written
mediums have progressed from radio to the more lucrative world of
television. As ever it seems standards get lower if it means ratings
get higher.
Radio
Ga Ga
Tony
Youenson the tactics of radio psychics
Skeptics
have long said that psychic readers achieve their results, either
consciously or unconsciously, by the technique known as “cold
reading”. This term refers to the giving of a reading without
any prior knowledge of the sitter.
When
I debate psychics and mediums they flatly deny using any such technique
and some have claimed they have never heard of the phrase. Of course
very few then offer to have their claims tested, and visiting them
as a client is likely to be costly. However such psychics now make
frequent radio appearances that allow us to carry out at least some
analysis on how they operate.
Some
years ago I remember reading in Psychic News about mediums
appearing on radio phone-in programmes and providing callers with
startlingly accurate information that they couldn’t possibly
know by any normal means. They would describe the listener’s
wallpaper, health problems, recent bereavements and numerous other
titbits and trivia. What was going on? Did they have their friends
phone up, was it just a series of lucky guesses or, were they in
fact really psychic?
A few
months after Talk Radio UK started, when a ‘”spiritualist
medium’” was doing a turn. The show’s host was
“Caesar the Geezer” and his spiritualist guest was one
Kevin Wade. I listened to Kevin with great interest as he had a
curious way of talking. To start with, virtually all his “statements”
sounded like questions. This was because he usually said “please”
at the end of every sentence. An example might be, "Your Father’s
passed into spirit please”. Was this a question or not? He
also said things like, “Can I say to you please that you’re
not always appreciated please?” These aren’t actual
examples but they are typical of the curious way he used, or maybe
abused, the English language
I tried
to speak to Kevin directly but getting through was impossible. He
was only on for about an hour and such was his popularity that I
constantly got the engaged tone. It has since been confirmed to
me by various presenters that psychic phone-ins routinely generate
a massive response from the listeners. Then one evening Caesar suddenly
said he wanted to hear from skeptics. He wanted to put Kevin to
the test. This time I got through and eventually spoke to Kevin.
What follows below is most of our conversation. I don’t pretend
I was at my most eloquent but this was the first time I had spoken
to a radio station.
Listeners
were told to ask specific questions in order to test Kevin’s
talents. Kevin claimed to be able to talk to the spirits. He had
spirit guides to help him (I can’t remember but I’m
sure one or both were “American Indians”) and he had
certainly been on form that evening with no apparent communication
problems.
The
following extract is taken from a tape recording I made at the time
and although I cannot remember the actual date when it took place,
it would have been over two years ago. I began by saying I wanted
to ask some precise questions of Kevin and that I did not want a “cold reading”. I also said that if Kevin was not given
the answers from the “spirit world” that would be fine
and he should just say that he couldn’t answer that particular
question and not be tempted to guess.
Question
One
Tony
Youens (TY): Are either of my parents dead? Kevin Wade (KW) I
feel that one of them is, please.
TY: Which one?
KW: Can I say I want a mother link please?
TY: Right neither of them are dead. So you are wrong.
KW: Right, carry on.
A few
comments at this point. Why for goodness sake didn’t Kevin
just give me a simple answer? “I feel that one of them is
please” is vague enough but what about “Can I have a
mother link please?” Normally when Kevin was trying to determine
if a family member was dead, rather than say, “Your mother”
he would use the phrase ‘mother link’ If it then turned
out that Mum was alive and well he said would remind the caller
that he only said “mother link” and was therefore referring
in general terms to the mother’s side of the family. This
was a rather pointless tactic in this instance as I specifically
asked about my parents. Of course Kevin never said which parent
until pressed, and, when he committed himself he only compounded
the error.
Question
Two
TY: All my Grandparents are dead, can you give me any of their
names?
KW: Can I have Albert please?
TY: You can have him but he wouldn’t be my Grandparent.
KW: You understand why I want Albert?
TY: No, we’re slipping into cold reading.
KW: Carry on, carry on.
TY: Right, so that was wrong.
KW: Carry on.
Whether
deliberate or not this is certainly cold reading. Look at the way
Kevin answers a perfectly reasonable question, “Can I have
Albert please?” I asked a direct question so why didn’t
I get a straight answer such as, “Albert”? Even, “I
believe your grandfather’s name was Albert” is at least
normal speech. His claim is that he can communicate with the dead
and normally he can come up with names quite happily. Of course
when standard cold reading techniques are used responses are along
the lines of, “I’m being given the name Albert”
and the caller might obligingly respond by saying, “I had
a grandfather called Albert”. The word “had” would
indicate that he is now dead (or passed into spirit if you prefer)
and a suitable response might be, “That was on your Mother’s
side?” That fact that this was phrased as a question is almost
undetectable. If a positive response is given we’ve got a
hit. On the other hand if they say, No he was on my father’s
side, we this is dealt with by saying, “Only I’m getting
a man who says he’s from your mother’s side”.
With any luck the caller will help out with, “Oh, that might
be Cyril”. Rather than be so obvious as to actually say, “Yes
I know” the cold reader might instead imply that he or she
knew it all along by adding something trivial like, “Did he
have a dog?” Once again, ready to adapt to either a positive
or negative response, and so the fishing expedition continues.
In
our example, Kevin tries to salvage something by asking if I understand
why he wants Albert, thus getting me to do his job for him. Albert
is a common enough name for a male grandparent, any even though
there are only two of those, there are also uncles, friends, brothers
and so on, and as far as Kevin is concerned it seems any Albert
will do. Intentional or not this smacks of cold reading. As it turns
out I am completely unaware of any ‘Albert’ in my family
and even if there was one it’s not the answer to my question.
Imagine on Mastermind,
Magnus:
What was the name of the British engineer who built the Clifton
Suspension Bridge?
Kevin: Can I have William please?
Magnus: No it was Brunel.
Kevin: Do you understand why I’m getting William?
Magnus: Well… no…?
Question
Three
TY: “A friend of mine died, tragically, 20 years ago in a car
accident...”
Caesar (interrupting) “You shouldn’t have told him
that.”
[I explain that I told Kevin because he might say something vague
about ‘them dying tragically’ etc.]
TY: “They died in an accident OK. They died near Oxford
and were buried near Oxford. I won’t tell you where they
were buried, although I don’t expect you to come up with
that, but could you give me their name?”
KW: “No I can’t”.
TY: “Right so that’s another one... that we’ve
missed on.”
I imagine
Kevin didn’t try a name is because I gave no indication of
my friend’s gender. It would be embarrassing to ask for “a
Nigel please” and be told her name was Wendy. Wisely Kevin
decides not to risk it, or perhaps his spirit helpers are beginning
to tire.
Question
Four
TY:
My wife’s maternal grandparents, are either of those alive?
KW: Your wife’s grandparents?
TY: Her maternal grandparents.
KW: (Slightly hesitating) Yes, I feel that they, one of....yes
I do, yes I feel they are alive.
TY: Right, they’re both dead.
I had
of course already mentioned that my grandparents were dead so it
would seem likely that I had a reason to specifically mention my
wife’s maternal grandparents, surely one or both were probably
alive. Kevin plumps for “both living” only to find his
normally accurate spirit guides have let him down once again. I
did tell him not to guess.
Question
Five
TY:
And could you tell me their surname?
KW: No, I can’t do that at all.
But
why not? Their surname was Gregory. We know he can be given names,
although these are always first names and fairly common first names
at that. Gregory can be a first name therefore I can only conclude
that surnames are never given because they are too difficult to
guess. There is an exception to this though. If a psychic or spiritualist
is talking to a large audience it’s possible to have a try
at a few surnames. For example Robinson would be acceptable. It’s
common enough without being obvious like Smith or Jones. Chances
of success are fairly good if you also consider that someone might
simply know of a Robinson. This can still appear to be a hit to
the faithful.
I summarise
for Kevin his lack of success and refer to his earlier comparative
accuracy.
TY:
So those were my questions and you failed on all of them. I mean
(slight chuckle) in that respect...I mean I’m sure you could
go on now to tell me that I’m having trouble with the cat
or something. Many of those things you said to people, that Caesar
said weren’t generalisations, they certainly applied to
me. I could think of somebody who died of cancer.
I know people who have died tragically as I mentioned there.
Anyway
the questions are now over and Kevin has scored a duck. He needs
to salvage something quickly, hence....
KW:
You know someone who lost a limb as well...Tony.
TY: You see, we’re slipping into cold reading now.
KW: Just say yes or no.
TY: No I don’t.
KW: Who lost a leg?
This
is another cold reading tactic. Having told me just to say ‘yes
or no’ he then refuses to accept my answer so it appears that
it’s me who can’t remember rather than Kevin who has
made a bad guess. This can be dealt with in a variety of ways. The
medium can shift the problem onto the caller by using phrases and
methods like the following:
Do something
for me. Go and ask someone in your family if they remember someone
who lost a leg.
As they
are never going to come back they can afford to be a little bolder
and offer more details,
He was
fairly young when it happened and I’m being shown someone
with dark hair. The name James, or maybe it’s Jim, is connected
with him. Promise me you’ll check.
What
can the caller do but agree to check. Of course they come up with
nothing but hey, the show’s over.
Continuing
with the ‘missing limb’ conversation:
TY:
Well I just said I don’t know so if we keep pursuing it
now until I think of someone.... I said I don’t know anybody
that’s lost.... I mean, you know it depends what you mean....
Long John Silver did I believe and I’ve read about him.
(Caesar laughs in the background). But otherwise if you’re
saying anybody in my immediate family....
KW: I’m not talking about Long John Silver.
TY: Are you saying anybody that I’ve known in my entire
life?
KW: No. All I’m getting is someone that lost a limb... a
leg.
TY: (Laughing) Well I don’t know anybody that’s lost
a leg... at all.
I think
we can finish there. I remember that following my call Kevin had
a more sympathetic listener, even though he was supposed to have
stopped by then. It obviously takes more than scoring a big fat
zero to deter the faithful.
More
recent examples
Talk radio psychics have moved on a bit now. They seem to have a
much easier time these days. Obliging callers start by clearly stating
their question such, “Can you see any change of career for
me?”. With this as a starting point the psychic can prattle
on with confidence. The conversation proceeds something like this:
Psychic:
Well I can’t see anything in the next couple of months.
What is it you’re thinking of doing?
Caller: I was thinking about a job in sales.
Psychic: In that case I think you should hear something by about
the end of this year. It may be a bit sooner but I don’t
think so.
The
conversation can take various turns but the sequence is pretty much
consistent throughout. First a question from the caller followed
by a response from the psychic which refers to a future event. That’s
nice and safe as it can’t be challenged. The rest is the psychic
asking questions and, depending on the response, churning out more
possible future events. The questioning is quite bare faced. It’s
done in the same manner that a phone-in solicitor might use, simply
to home-in on the problem. One positive change since the early days
is that talk radio does not allow any questions about health and
potential callers with medical queries are told to see a doctor.
A while
back BBC Late Night North asked me to take part in a debate
with a spiritualist medium named Jean Duncan. I had never heard
her before and did not really get much opportunity to listen to
her work beforehand. I asked the researcher if Jean would be prepared
to undergo a brief test (I had in mind the questions I had asked
Kevin Wade.) She refused. Since then I have had the chance to listen
to her and analyse her particular style.
In
one show earlier this year I noted the number of callers and the
number of questions Jean asked them. The average was between 12
and 13 questions per caller, the range being between five and 29.
The total number of questions was a staggering 162. (Counting these
questions is not as easy as it seems and there is some subjectivity
in assessing what should be regarded as a question. I took as my
working definition anything that was said by the medium that was
likely to provoke the caller into providing more information. Even
then it was difficult. To allow for disputes I missed out some questions
that didn’t get any worthwhile information and those that
were simply restated. So if anything my figure is fairly conservative.)
I also
made a note of the names Jean uses. They are all pretty common.
The ‘hits’ were: Hilda, Margaret, John, Bob, David,
Michael and James. The misses were: Ann, Thomas, William (when this
missed she changed to Bill or Billy - still no luck), Robert (Bob
was accepted) Ron, Rodney, Alan and Alec. These names are just thrown
out as in, “Who’s Michael?” or “Why am I
getting the name Margaret?” If the name means anything to
the caller then it’s a hit. With these names some hits are
virtually guaranteed. James, for example, was the name of a caller’s
boss. In my own family I have noted at least 17 different, but fairly
common names. If I extend possible connections to friends and work
colleagues this figure easily doubles.
Jean
usually begins with a general question such as, “How are you?”
Simple and polite but she seems to use this as a springboard for
the start of the reading. The caller may respond with, “Not
too bad.” or “Fine.” Either way Jean seems to
use this as her starting point.
She
sometimes asks a trivial question such as, “Who’s seeing
a doctor?” or “Who’s got a bad leg?” If
there is a positive response she builds on it but if it’s
a miss she tries to modify it by referring to the spirit she is
talking to with something like, “Only I’m being shown
a man in a white coat.” If this can be reinterpreted by the
caller then there’s still the chance of a hit. As always the
caller is the one who has to do the matching. Another trivial question
with almost guaranteed success is, “Who’s got a bad
back?” My answer? About two-thirds of the population.
Jean
avoids jumping in with, “Your dead husband’s here and
wants to say something.” Instead she prefers the much safer,
“There’s a gentleman beside me.”
As
is usually the case with other psychics, her questions often sound
like statements. For example she might say something like, “You’re
not planning to move are you?” The way it is said makes the
meaning imprecise. She could either be telling the caller she isn’t
moving or asking if she is. Curiously sometimes the spirit is talking
to Jean, (“He’s telling me.....”) and at others
it uses pictures or objects, (“I’m being shown.....”).
The reason for this is unclear. I cannot understand why this leads
to such confusion. If she can hear him why not ask him who he is
instead of the caller. If she can only see him then why doesn’t
he hold up a placard saying, “It’s me Monty and I’m
her husband”.? The whole thing works because we assume (rightly)
that communication with the dead is going to be difficult and a
certain amount of clarification will be needed by the medium to
make sure they are on the right track. But why do they know someone
is called “Thomas” but not that he’s in the spirit
world until it’s confirmed by the caller? If a name can be
picked up, which after all is only a word, why not the word “brother”,
“father” or “uncle”? Why does communication
become so much easier after the facts have been established?
How
about a test?
How are psychics chosen to appear on the radio? Do they undergo
prior testing to giving readings on air? Or, as is more likely,
are they simply judged on their popularity? Cold reading is known
to work , and the technique has been widely written about in mentalist
literature. So how does a radio station know that this technique
is not being used unless a proper test has been carried out? It
would appear that as long as those who phone in are impressed then
this is test enough.
In
devising a test the only way to decide on the psychic’s ability
is on the accuracy of the information provided. But not any information.
Mediums and psychics always fall down on the detail or more precisely
the verifiable detail. An obvious exception to this, of course,
is if they manage to obtain information prior to the reading. Any
test will obviously have to be adapted to the powers the psychic
claims to have, but in the case of a medium five people could be
chosen at random from a list of thirty volunteers and the psychic
could be required to provide specific information on each of them
such as:
The volunteer’s name (would just the first name do?) Are they
married? Do they have any children? (If yes how many?) Is their
partner still alive? Names of dead or living relatives (parents,
grandparents, children, brothers and sisters). Both the name of
the relative and the relationship are required. For example grandfather,
dead, named Ferdinand.
Candidates
would be allowed only one answer per question and sitters would
not be permitted to respond until after the test. No questioning
by the medium is allowed. If they get around 70% accuracy then they
get to go on air; otherwise they need to return to psychic development
classes. Before even this test can begin it would need to established
whether or not the medium needs to hear the voice of the sitter
or perhaps know their gender. If they do require this information
then I think some kind of explanation is required as to why this
is needed. Perhaps the hit rate will have to be moved to 80 or 90
percent in such cases. Once the voice has been heard the sex is
usually known along with approximate age and maybe even some kind
of education and social background.
Sadly
no such testing is ever likely to take place. If it were, and were
done properly, then there would be little chance of any psychic
making an appearance and that would not help the ratings, would
it?